Analytics
Resolved No on 21 May 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 25% on 14 May 2024. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 14 May 2024 to 21 May 2024, the highest close was 35.5% on 15 May 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 May 2024. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 11% on 19 May 2024. $30.03K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 21, 10:59 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 14 May 2024 – 21 May 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 May 2024 | 25.0% |
| 21 May 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 7.99K |
| Arad-402 | Yes | 117.89 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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Resolution source: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt11152168/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/if-opening-weekend-box-office
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