Will ICE detain 600-699 people on January 31?

Resolved

Yes, settled Feb 1, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$4.5K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Feb 1, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 1 Feb 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 14%. Yes opened at 18% on 30 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 30 Jan 2025 to 1 Feb 2025, the highest close was 18% on 30 Jan 2025 and the lowest 14% on 1 Feb 2025. $4.55K traded over the market's life.

1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 6:08 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 30 Jan 2025 – 1 Feb 2025, chart shows 10%–25%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
30 Jan 2025	18.0%
1 Feb 2025	14.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	693.93

1 of 1 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the number of "Detainers Lodged" in ICE's daily update for January 31, 2025. If ICE doesn't release a daily update for this date by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "<600" bracket. The resolution source will be the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement X account @ICEgov (https://x.com/ICEgov).