Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 41.5% on 2 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 2 Apr 2026 to 1 May 2026 (17 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 76% on 9 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 1 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 10.5% on 27 Apr 2026. $1.39K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 6:18 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 2 Apr 2026 – 1 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Apr 2026 | 41.5% |
| 1 May 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 300 |
| OxWizzz | Yes | 60 |
| daroghi | Yes | 30 |
| R24Rssa3 | Yes | 24.32 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hyperliquid’s HIP-4 upgrade goes live on mainnet by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be Hyperliquid, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-hyperliquids-hip-4-upgrade-go-live-on-mainnet-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Mojito9 | Yes | 10 |
| Sleepy-Cactus | Yes | 6 |
| Golden Horizon 54D0 | Yes | 5 |
| Aletatata | Yes | 5 |
