Analytics
Resolved Yes on 28 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 22.6%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 2 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 2 Jan 2026 to 28 Jan 2026, the highest close was 25.5% on 8 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.7% on 22 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 22.6% on 28 Jan 2026. $72.62K traded over the market's life.
53 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 29, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 2 Jan 2026 – 28 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jan 2026 | 12.5% |
| 28 Jan 2026 | 22.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xiaoxiao666 | No | 10K |
| Querulous-Standpoint | No | 2.11K |
| 0xCb1 | No | 1.55K |
| GammaTrading | No | 1.3K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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| MyLige | No | 999.99 |
| kenralm | No | 734.85 |
| dmitrii146 | No | 449.98 |
| honoured | No | 366.67 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 298 |
| ttj01 | No | 250 |
