Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 19% on 10 Mar 2023. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 10 Mar 2023 to 1 Apr 2023 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 19% on 10 Mar 2023 and the lowest 1% on 25 Mar 2023. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 10% on 11 Mar 2023. $19.85K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 2:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 62 points, 10 Mar 2023 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2023 | 19.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bold Harbor 9AD8 | Yes | 12.4K |
| Old-Arrogance | Yes | 200 |
| Lunar Sphinx E0CD | No | 175.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if official information released by Huobi, official representatives of Huobi (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting announces by March 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET that Huobi is insolvent or is filing/has filed for any variety of bankruptcy. This market will also resolve to "Yes" if Huobi withdrawals for BTC and/or ETH are suspended for a majority of users for at least 7 full days (168 hours) in a row by March 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this settlement criterion will be official information released by Huobi, official representatives of Huobi (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), and a consensus of credible reporting. If neither of the above criteria are met, this market will resolve to "No". Huobi withdrawals being suspended for a majority of users means that a majority of users are unable to withdraw their BTC and/or ETH from Huobi (E.g. If a majority of users are unable to withdraw their ETH from Huobi, it will satisfy the condition.) If Huobi suspends withdrawals on a day in the last week of March (e.g. They halt token withdrawals on March 30, 2023, 4 PM ET), this market will not resolve until either: 1) withdrawals are reenabled before 7 full days (168 hours) pass, resulting in a "No" resolution; 2) 7 full days pass (March 30 - April 6, 2023, 4 PM ET) where withdrawals are suspended, resulting in a "Yes" resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-huobi-become-insolvent-by-mar-31-2023
| Yes |
| 124.74 |
| Helloworl | Yes | 100 |
| Jade Atlas 64FA | Yes | 4.85 |
| Imaginary-Calico | No | 2.07 |
| testing43433434 | Yes | 1.5 |
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