Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 50.5%. Yes opened at 25% on 12 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 110 daily closes on record from 12 Jun 2025 to 29 Sep 2025, the highest close was 49.5% on 7 Sep 2025 and the lowest 16% on 16 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 48.5% on 20 Aug 2025. $34.72 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 29, 2:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 110 points, 12 Jun 2025 – 29 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2025 | 25.0% |
| 29 Sep 2025 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 220 |
| montty | Yes | 5 |
| Luisererwwwc | Yes | 2.36 |
This is a market on predicting the pitcher who will finish the 2025 MLB regular season with the lowest earned run average (ERA).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-pitching-era-leader
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
