Analytics
Resolved No on 2 May 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 50% on 9 Feb 2023. Before it settled, across the 75 daily closes on record from 9 Feb 2023 to 2 May 2023 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52% on 18 Feb 2023 and the lowest 1.5% on 20 Apr 2023. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 9% on 19 Feb 2023. $35.1K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 3, 4:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 88 points, 9 Feb 2023 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Feb 2023 | 50.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Royal Atlas 243B | Yes | 748.8K |
| Whale | Yes | 9.09 |
| Jade Atlas 64FA | Yes | 0.31 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market group on whether Hunter Biden, son of US President Joseph Biden, will be indicted by a given date.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-hunter-biden-be-indicted-by
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