
Resolved No on 6 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 71.1%. Yes opened at 21.5% on 18 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 18 Dec 2024 to 6 Jan 2025, the highest close was 28.9% on 6 Jan 2025 and the lowest 3.5% on 24 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 15.2% on 25 Dec 2024. $14.9K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 7, 2:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 18 Dec 2024 – 6 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Dec 2024 | 21.5% |
| 6 Jan 2025 | 28.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.78K |
| Potpot | Yes | 86.96 |
| Silver Oracle 0CDF | Yes | 80 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market group over who will win the Golden Globe for Best Performance by a Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/golden-globes-best-actor-in-a-movie-musical-or-comedy
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| Yes |
| 30 |
| eieio | Yes | 0.06 |
| marksman | Yes | 0.01 |