Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 57.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 14 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 14 Mar 2026 and the low 19.5% on 21 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 26.5% on 17 Mar 2026. $8.01K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 28, 4:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 14 Mar 2026 – 27 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 42.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 300 |
| Mangy62 | Yes | 100 |
| 1f2da719e0b226d9d91664b0cfe0659 | Yes | 74.09 |
| ArbitrageFund | Yes | 56 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| darthprim | Yes | 31 |
| adspokposs | Yes | 30 |
| PX5300 | Yes | 20 |
| Flickering-Seminar | Yes | 13.16 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team advances to the semifinals of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the semifinals of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament (e.g. they are eliminated, withdraws, disqualified), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament semifinals matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-tournament-team-to-make-semifinals
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
