Will Hong Kong have between 350-375mm of precipitation in June?

Resolved

No, settled Jul 2, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$5.4K

Resolved

Settled

Jul 2, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 2 Jul 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 28 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 28 May 2026 to 2 Jul 2026, the highest close was 26% on 8 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 15% on 9 Jun 2026. $5.35K traded over the market's life.

14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 4:37 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 28 May 2026 – 2 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–40%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
28 May 2026	12.5%
2 Jul 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.01K
Purple-Pace	Yes	1K
Scaly-Arena	Yes	425

10 of 14 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.