Will Hong Kong have between 230-240mm of precipitation in May?

Resolved

No, settled Jun 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$7.1K

Resolved

Settled

Jun 1, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Jun 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 94%. Yes opened at 38.5% on 29 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 34 daily closes on record from 29 Apr 2026 to 1 Jun 2026, the highest close was 47.8% on 31 May 2026 and the lowest 5.9% on 1 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 5.9% on 1 Jun 2026. $7.09K traded over the market's life.

32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 2, 7:37 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 29 Apr 2026 – 1 Jun 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
29 Apr 2026	38.5%
1 Jun 2026	5.9%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	3.79K
Bowed-Warlock	Yes	404.1
HKPicker	Yes	261.4
Jade Tide 915A	Yes	67.68

10 of 32 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between May 1 and May 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in May 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.