Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 0.7% on 14 Jan 2024. Before it settled, the high was 4.5% on 21 Jul 2024 and the low 0.1% on 25 Jan 2024. $35.29M traded over the market's life.
331 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 7, 10:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 206 points, 14 Jan 2024 – 6 Aug 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2024 | 0.7% |
| 6 Aug 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 19.54M |
| Monthly-Figure | Yes | 462.48K |
| Market-matey | Yes | 434.83K |
This is a market on who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 presidential election.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/democratic-nominee-2024
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Monster | Yes | 368.86K |
| anong | Yes | 315.34K |
| electionator | Yes | 282.99K |
| BigMikeBeliever | Yes | 243.86K |
| SuperApe | Yes | 229.22K |
| MuddyWaters | Yes | 226.8K |
| SamVagabond1999 | Yes | 202.11K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
