Will Henri-Marie Dondra win the 2025 Central African Republic presidential election?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 20, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$12.1K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 20, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 20 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 1.4% on 4 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 49 daily closes on record from 4 Dec 2025 to 20 Jan 2026, the highest close was 1.4% on 4 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 7 Jan 2026. $12.07K traded over the market's life.

31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 4:21 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 49 points, 4 Dec 2025 – 20 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
4 Dec 2025	1.4%
20 Jan 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	8.31K
floweth	Yes	2.29K
tailevent	Yes	599.99

10 of 31 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in the Central African Republic on December 28, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the vote outright, a second round of elections will be scheduled. This market will resolve to the candidate who wins this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (Autorité nationale des élections or ANE on https://www.ane-rca.org/). If the election outcome is ambiguous and the information from the specified resolution source is not definitive, this market will resolve to the candidate who takes office the following term.