Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.8%. Yes opened at 23% on 5 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 5 Dec 2024 to 7 Dec 2024, the highest close was 23% on 5 Dec 2024 and the lowest 2.2% on 7 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 6% on 6 Dec 2024. $19.26K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 8, 6:49 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 5 Dec 2024 – 7 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2024 | 23.0% |
| 7 Dec 2024 | 2.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| borisy | Yes | 0.41 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Pete Hegseth is expected to sit for an interview with Fox News on Dec 4 (see: https://x.com/kaitlancollins/status/1864083486078119986). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hegseth says "Fake news" during the interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by December 6, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the video of the interview.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-hegseth-saying-during-fox-interview
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