Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 1.4% on 2 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 246 daily closes on record from 2 May 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 1.4% on 2 May 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 12 Nov 2025. $20.4K traded over the market's life.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 19, 3:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 246 points, 2 May 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 May 2025 | 1.4% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 13.13K |
| Stevecrbird | Yes | 1.4K |
| BlazeAndrade | Yes | 1K |
This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the successor to Elon Musk as CEO of Tesla by February 28, 2026. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Tesla. The resolution source will be public statements from Tesla.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-replace-musk-as-tesla-ceo
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Lutoken | Yes | 1K |
| Cookedtan | Yes | 664.35 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 640.53 |
| Ziigmund | Yes | 489.91 |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 448.15 |
| Siziriv | Yes | 299.99 |
| Silver Atlas 266B | Yes | 285 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
