Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.7%. Yes opened at 43% on 21 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 75.5% on 8 Aug 2026 and the low 2.4% on 15 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 72 points down, to 4% on 8 Sep 2026. $39.6K traded over the market's life.
44 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 56 points · 21 Jul 2026 – 15 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jul 2026 | 43.0% |
| 15 Sep 2026 | 2.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.16K |
| JAMJAMJAM4 | Yes | 1.63K |
| umannnnn | Yes | 1.38K |
| balthazar | Yes | 700 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the streaming service which wins the greatest number of Emmys at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards. An Emmy will be attributed to a streaming service if the show for which the award is won is officially attributed to that streaming service, whether the recipient is a person, the show itself, or any other entity. For example, if Steve Carell wins "Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series" for his performance in "Rooster", that win would be attributed to HBO Max. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of Emmys, this market will resolve in favor of the streaming service whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If all 78th Primetime Emmy Awards have not been awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the Emmys awarded up until that point. If no Emmys are awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Television Academy, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.televisionacademy.com/), and the live broadcasts of the Creative Arts Emmys and the Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-streaming-service-will-win-the-most-emmys-20260710203956416
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 325 |
| Cold-Overweight | Yes | 324.48 |
| Peppery-Strawman-Rhubarb | Yes | 305.14 |
| zerachielo | Yes | 281.69 |
| Queen78 | Yes | 140.19 |
| Sunshineandpoggy | Yes | 101.45 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
