Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 79% on 26 Jul 2023. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 26 Jul 2023 to 1 Aug 2023, the highest close was 79% on 26 Jul 2023 and the lowest 0.5% on 31 Jul 2023. Its largest one-day move was 53 points down, to 18.5% on 29 Jul 2023. $7.11K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 6:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 26 Jul 2023 – 1 Aug 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jul 2023 | 79.0% |
| 1 Aug 2023 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Steep-Academics | Yes | 191.11 |
| Luminous-Severity | No | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on how much 'Haunted Mansion' (2023) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl707822337/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 28 - July 30) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Haunted Mansion ' (2023) grosses more than $30,000,000 on its 3-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by August 7th, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolution source: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl707822337/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-haunted-mansion-gross-over-30m-on-opening-weekend
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
