Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 9 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 86 daily closes on record from 9 Oct 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 52.5% on 18 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 27% on 27 Nov 2025. $3.06K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 19, 3:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 86 points, 9 Oct 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2025 | 49.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 445 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 199 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 170 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new album between April 1 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-artists-will-release-new-albums-in-2025
| Yes |
| 104 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 92 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 88 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 76.65 |
| Juliengo | Yes | 50 |
| Blaorra | Yes | 49.73 |
| Rlso | Yes | 48.16 |
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