What is the “Will Harris win New Mexico by 6+ points?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Will Harris win New Mexico by 6+ points? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Nov 5, 2024. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes” if Kamala Harris wins the popular vote in New Mexico in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by 6.0% or more when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Kamala Harris and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each candidate receives by the sum of all votes cast in this state for the…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($202.84K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
$69.51K
No buy at 0.1%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Nov 26, 12:00 AM
Showing 60 of 500 loaded trade rows.Full archived tape is available through subscriber depth/API retrieval when coverage exists.
Who holds the biggest positions in this market?
Vultax loaded 5 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 100.0% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Nov 27, 10:01 PM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-harris-win-new-mexico-by-6-points) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.