Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 50% on 3 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 3 Jul 2026 to 26 Jul 2026, the highest close was 50% on 3 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 23 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 14.8% on 22 Jul 2026. $899.38 traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 26, 10:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 3 Jul 2026 – 26 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 26 Jul 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| hesure | Yes | 50 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed cyclist finishes in the top 3 of the 2026 Tour De France scheduled for July 4, 2026 through July 26, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed cyclist to finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Tour De France per the rules of the UCI, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Tour De France is cancelled, postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are otherwise no declared top 3 finishers declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from UCI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-tour-de-france-top-3-20260702210405543
| Yes |
| 14 |
| Ivory Quasar 70A8 | Yes | 14 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 10 |
| Sleepy-Cactus | Yes | 6 |
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