Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.2%. Yes opened at 81.5% on 25 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 99.2% on 21 Jan 2026 and the low 81.5% on 25 Nov 2025. $42.16K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 23, 12:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 59 points, 25 Nov 2025 – 21 Jan 2026, chart shows 75%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Nov 2025 | 81.5% |
| 21 Jan 2026 | 99.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 7153649820 | No | 6.82K |
| kandinsky | No | 5.29K |
| TENETENET | No | 500 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 229 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Han Duck-soo is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for charges related to the 2024 South Korean political crisis, including but not limited to allegations of failure to promulgate legislation, obstruction of constitutional processes, or other criminal acts stemming from his actions as Acting President and Prime Minister by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through 2026 regardless of whether Han Duck-soo's initial sentencing includes prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the South Korean government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-han-duck-soo-be-sentenced-to-prison-before-2027
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 219 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 118 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 77 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 74 |
| sunnylo5358 | No | 52.63 |
| AsuraSmellsLikeASS | No | 50 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
