Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 0–5 years in prison?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 21, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$276.4K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 21, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 21 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.6%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 10 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 44 daily closes on record from 10 Dec 2025 to 21 Jan 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 10 Dec 2025 and the lowest 2.4% on 21 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 32% on 11 Dec 2025. $276.37K traded over the market's life.

56 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 22, 4:23 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 44 points, 10 Dec 2025 – 21 Jan 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
10 Dec 2025	49.5%
21 Jan 2026	2.4%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	34.2K
ilikebooties12	Yes	3.47K
KoreaConservative	Yes	1.24K

10 of 56 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Former South Korean Prime Minister Han Duck-soo is scheduled to be sentenced on January 21, 2026 in his criminal case including charges of aiding an insurrection and perjury, among other charges, related to his involvement in Yoon Suk Yeol’s martial law declaration in 2024. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/south-korea-special-prosecutor-seeks-15-year-jail-term-ex-pm-han-martial-law-2025-11-26/. This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on former South Korean Prime Minister Han Duck-soo in this martial-law related criminal trial by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Han Duck-soo is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If Han Duck-soo is sentenced to life in prison, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If no sentencing takes place by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." It does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Han Duck-soo is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the South Korean government and court system; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.