Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Nov 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 69% on 2 Nov 2023. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 2 Nov 2023 to 18 Nov 2023, the highest close was 74.5% on 3 Nov 2023 and the lowest 1.1% on 18 Nov 2023. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 40.5% on 12 Nov 2023. $51.56K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 19, 4:41 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 2 Nov 2023 – 18 Nov 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2023 | 69.0% |
| 18 Nov 2023 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Aphillyatd | Yes | 28.57 |
| Horger | No | 13.68 |
| sfsgdtd | Yes | 2.99 |
| Cosmic Comet 2284 | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases any hostages between October 31 and November 17, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a negotiated release of hostages will trigger a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Hamas, Israel, the United States, and/or the relevant nations to whom any potential released hostages belong, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-hamas-release-more-hostages-by-november-17
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