Analytics
Resolved Yes on 24 Nov 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 78.5%. Yes opened at 38.5% on 17 Nov 2023. Before it settled, the high was 78.5% on 24 Nov 2023 and the low 31.5% on 19 Nov 2023. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 78.5% on 24 Nov 2023. $59.59K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 25, 6:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 17 Nov 2023 – 24 Nov 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Nov 2023 | 38.5% |
| 24 Nov 2023 | 78.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases 20 or more hostages in any 24-hour period between November 15 and November 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a negotiated release of hostages will trigger a "Yes" resolution. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon the release of 20+ hostages in a 24 hour period. If Hamas releases hostages on the last day within this market's range, the 24 hour period will commence starting with the release of the first hostage (e.g. if a first hostage is released on Nov 30, 2 PM ET, the 24h period will be from Nov 30, 2 PM ET to Dec 1, 2 PM ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Hamas, Israel, the United States, and/or the relevant nations to whom any potential released hostages belong, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-hamas-release-20-hostages-in-a-single-day-by-nov-30
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