Analytics
Yes is at 51%, up 2.5 points from 48.5% when the market opened on 10 Feb 2026.
Across the 230 daily closes on record from 10 Feb 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (32 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 60.5% on 28 Apr 2026 and the lowest 20.5% on 1 Mar 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 51%; a month before, 50%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 50.5% on 19 Sep 2026.
The order book holds $10.79, with a 94.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 1 shares; the largest No position is wjzqgk0 with 1.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 1:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 230 points, 10 Feb 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Feb 2026 | 48.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 51.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wjzqgk0 | No | 1.1 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 1.09 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Halle Berry and Van Hunt's marriage takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only announcements made within this market's timeframe will qualify. No announcements made after December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET will be considered, even if the marriage itself is announced to have taken place within the market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Halle Berry and Van Hunt, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-halle-berry-and-van-hunt-get-married-by-december-31
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
