Analytics
Resolved Yes on 17 Oct 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 56%. Yes opened at 45% on 4 Oct 2023. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 4 Oct 2023 to 17 Oct 2023, the highest close was 72.5% on 16 Oct 2023 and the lowest 23% on 9 Oct 2023. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 56% on 12 Oct 2023. $39.86K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 18, 8:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 4 Oct 2023 – 17 Oct 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2023 | 45.0% |
| 17 Oct 2023 | 56.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hakeem Jeffries receives the most votes in the first vote for a new Speaker of the House after Kevin McCarthy was ousted. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. If no vote for a new US Speaker of the House takes place by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-hakeem-jeffries-get-the-most-votes-in-next-vote-for-speaker
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