Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 50% on 26 Jul 2024. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 26 Jul 2024 and the low 0.3% on 10 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 25.5% on 6 Aug 2024. $66.64K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 12, 10:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 26 Jul 2024 – 11 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jul 2024 | 50.0% |
| 11 Aug 2024 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 41.04K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 6.19K |
| Omniscient | Yes | 19.99 |
| Miserly-Revolver | Yes | 0.04 |
| Frigid-Manner | Yes | 0.04 |
| Grisnatch | Yes | 0.02 |
| zhuhao011 | No | 0.02 |
| PODC | Yes | 0.02 |
| Forceful-Procedure | Yes | 0.02 |
| disko | No | 0.02 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on which country will win the third most gold medals at the Paris Olympics.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/3rd-most-gold-medals-at-paris-olympics-1
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