Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 49.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 7 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 7 Feb 2026 to 10 Feb 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 7 Feb 2026 and the lowest 38% on 8 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 38% on 8 Feb 2026. $4.63K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 12, 12:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 7 Feb 2026 – 10 Feb 2026, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | 50.5% |
| 10 Feb 2026 | 50.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Goy-Slop | Yes | 1K |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 482 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 301 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The Joe Rogan Experience podcast releases episodes on https://www.youtube.com/@joerogan. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the first released episode of the Joe Rogan Experience Podcast between February 9, 2026 and February 15, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old episodes or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If no such episode of the Joe Rogan Experience Podcast is aired by February 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". JRE MMA Show episodes will not count for this market, only Joe Rogan Experience episodes. The resolution source will be the released episode from (https://www.youtube.com/@joerogan).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-said-on-the-first-joe-rogan-experience-episode-of-the-week-february-15
| Yes |
| 280 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 206 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 144 |
| GMC.Capital | Yes | 134.03 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 100 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 96 |
| 9735 | Yes | 50 |
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