Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 36% on 23 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 72 daily closes on record from 23 Oct 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 36% on 23 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 16 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 21% on 24 Oct 2025. $38.7K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 4:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 72 points, 23 Oct 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2025 | 36.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| OkaneKasegu | Yes | 3.5K |
| GUADANHAO | Yes | 2K |
| yangguang0511 | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Graham Platner withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Maine U.S. Senate race, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Graham Platner or his official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-graham-platner-drop-out-of-maine-senate-race-by-december-31
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 600 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 487 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 346 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 254.97 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 253 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 190 |
| wylzub | Yes | 156.25 |
