Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?

Resolved

Yes, settled Sep 4, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$272.8K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Sep 4, 2026 UTC

Topic roomBest AI Model

PricesPrice history from Polymarket's order book, daily closes, latest Sep 4, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Date	Close	Mid
Sep 4, 12:00 AM UTC	98.7%	98.7%
Sep 3, 12:00 AM UTC	87.5%	87.5%
Sep 2, 12:00 AM UTC	47.5%	47.5%
Sep 1, 12:00 AM UTC	39.0%	39.0%
Aug 31, 12:00 AM UTC	40.5%	40.5%
Aug 30, 12:00 AM UTC	42.5%	42.5%
Aug 29, 12:00 AM UTC	21.5%	21.5%
Aug 28, 12:00 AM UTC	11.0%	11.0%
Aug 27, 12:00 AM UTC	15.0%	15.0%
Aug 26, 12:00 AM UTC	8.5%	8.5%
Aug 25, 12:00 AM UTC	17.0%	17.0%
Aug 24, 12:00 AM UTC	15.5%	15.5%
Aug 23, 12:00 AM UTC	20.5%	20.5%
Aug 22, 12:00 AM UTC	12.0%	12.0%
Aug 21, 12:00 AM UTC	18.0%	18.0%
Aug 20, 12:00 AM UTC	11.5%	11.5%
Aug 19, 12:00 AM UTC	17.5%	17.5%
Aug 18, 12:00 AM UTC	19.0%	19.0%
Aug 17, 12:00 AM UTC	17.5%	17.5%
Aug 16, 12:00 AM UTC	22.0%	22.0%
Aug 15, 12:00 AM UTC	23.0%	23.0%

Topic room

Read this market in context

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Research behind the numbers

Analytics

Date

Mid

Spread

Volume

Trades

Sep 4, 12:00 AM UTC

98.7%

Sep 3, 12:00 AM UTC

87.5%

Sep 2, 12:00 AM UTC

47.5%

Sep 1, 12:00 AM UTC

39.0%

Aug 31, 12:00 AM UTC

40.5%

Aug 30, 12:00 AM UTC

42.5%

Aug 29, 12:00 AM UTC

21.5%

Aug 28, 12:00 AM UTC

11.0%

Aug 27, 12:00 AM UTC

15.0%

Aug 26, 12:00 AM UTC

8.5%

Aug 25, 12:00 AM UTC

17.0%

Aug 24, 12:00 AM UTC

15.5%

Aug 23, 12:00 AM UTC

20.5%

Aug 22, 12:00 AM UTC

12.0%

Aug 21, 12:00 AM UTC

18.0%

Aug 20, 12:00 AM UTC

11.5%

Aug 19, 12:00 AM UTC

17.5%

Aug 18, 12:00 AM UTC

19.0%

Aug 17, 12:00 AM UTC

17.5%

Aug 16, 12:00 AM UTC

22.0%

Aug 15, 12:00 AM UTC

23.0%