Analytics
Resolved No on 4 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 24% on 28 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 28 Apr 2026 to 4 May 2026, the highest close was 24% on 28 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 2 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 2.6% on 1 May 2026. $2.29K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 5, 5:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 28 Apr 2026 – 4 May 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Apr 2026 | 24.0% |
| 4 May 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 689.68 |
| SleepyPandaN | Yes | 262.22 |
| Clean-Condor-Coverall | Yes | 100 |
| Scornful-Conductor | Yes | 16.11 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week. The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released. Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-ai-company-will-have-the-second-highest-revenue-april-27-may-3
| wwder | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Golden Horizon 54D0 | Yes | 4.99 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 1.28 |
| Lorence2 | No | 0.07 |
| Keen Lynx 0B73 | Yes | 0.07 |
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