Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 54% on 15 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 15 Oct 2025 to 20 Oct 2025, the highest close was 71% on 16 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.7% on 20 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 52 points down, to 19% on 17 Oct 2025. $17.59K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 12:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 15 Oct 2025 – 20 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2025 | 54.0% |
| 20 Oct 2025 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.24K |
| Ready-Judge | Yes | 2K |
| DDHandsSixNine | Yes | 1.01K |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 479 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to how much "Good Fortune" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 17 - October 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 26, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolution source: https://www.the-numbers.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/good-fortune-opening-weekend-box-office-863
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 310.95 |
| Ziigmund | Yes | 307.62 |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 302.14 |
| rgrea | Yes | 250 |
| fdgdfggs | Yes | 250 |
| gtbgt65 | Yes | 250 |
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