Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 46% on 18 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 46% on 18 Mar 2026 and the low 0.1% on 20 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 4.9% on 19 Mar 2026.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 21, 7:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 4 points · 18 Mar 2026 – 21 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Mar 2026 | 46.0% |
| 21 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.1K |
| paspor | Yes | 824.67 |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 654.14 |
| Scornful-Conductor | Yes | 279.38 |
| rated | Yes | 200 |
| shine | Yes | 150.01 |
| Neon Scout D064 | Yes | 124.97 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 55.97 |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 35 |
| yzhaobk-nrt | Yes | 31.75 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament. If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.” If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-womens-ncaa-tournament-winner
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