Will Gold Mansacks win the Orderly trading competition?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 14, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$20.4K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 14, 2025 UTC

Topic roomOil, gold and commodities

Where it stands

Resolved No on 14 Dec 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.6%. Yes opened at 12% on 14 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 14 Nov 2025 to 14 Dec 2025, the highest close was 35.5% on 24 Nov 2025 and the lowest 1.5% on 14 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 31% on 15 Nov 2025. $20.36K traded over the market's life.

29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Dec 15, 8:29 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 14 Nov 2025 – 14 Dec 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
14 Nov 2025	12.0%
14 Dec 2025	1.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	2.71K
focheeze	Yes	1.11K
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	667

10 of 29 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the listed participant with the highest PnL at the end of the Orderly trading competition starting on November 14, 2025. The resolution source will be the Orderly Heavyweight Leaderboard on https://app.orderly.network/campaigns. If two or more participants are tied for the highest PnL at the time of resolution, the market will resolve to the participant whose display name appears first in alphabetical order on the official Orderly Heavyweight Leaderboard. If the competition is not completed or the official leaderboard is unavailable, the market will remain open until reliable data is published by Orderly. If no such data becomes available by December 31, 2025 ET, the market will resolve to “Other".