Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 50% on 5 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 5 Feb 2026 to 28 Feb 2026, the highest close was 51% on 6 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 27.5% on 7 Feb 2026. $13K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 1, 8:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 5 Feb 2026 – 28 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Feb 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Feb 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hintbro16 | Yes | 692.99 |
| 387411007415611814092217897387 | Yes | 164.02 |
| Bright Raven 544F | Yes | 157.84 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of February 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during February on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolution source: https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.html
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gold-gc-above-end-of-february
| Yes |
| 106.06 |
| acal | Yes | 90.62 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 59.96 |
| hesure | Yes | 50 |
| vger7 | Yes | 49.99 |
| t189 | Yes | 49.94 |
| 0xwon | Yes | 33 |
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