Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 74%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 14 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 14 Nov 2025 to 16 Nov 2025, the highest close was 44.5% on 14 Nov 2025 and the lowest 26% on 15 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 26% on 15 Nov 2025. $118.71 traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Nov 17, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 14 Nov 2025 – 16 Nov 2025, chart shows 20%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2025 | 44.5% |
| 16 Nov 2025 | 26.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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Glen Powell is scheduled to appear on the November 15 broadcast of Saturday Night Live: https://www.nbc.com/nbc-insider/snl-hosts-musical-guests-november-1-8-15-2025 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Glen Powell says the listed term at any point during the initial broadcast of this episode. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old episodes or prerecorded videos are aired where Glen Powell is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Commercials which are not part of the show itself will not qualify toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). Censored instances of a given term that cannot be heard in full will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this appearance is definitively cancelled by Glen Powell or NBC, or otherwise is not released by November 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the appearance.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-glen-powell-say-during-saturday-night-live-on-november-15
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