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“Will Gilberto Mora play for Bayern Munich next?” is a sports prediction market on Polymarket with two tradeable outcomes, Yes and No. It belongs to the event “Which club will Gilberto Mora play for next?”. The Yes price is the market's implied probability that the question resolves Yes. Quotes can change as orders are updated or filled; a quoted price does not guarantee an available fill at that price.
Trading is open until Feb 2, 2027 UTC. As of Sep 27, 12:58 AM UTC, Yes trades at 7.8¢, a 7.8% implied chance, $199.06 traded in the last 24 hours, $165.43 resting in the order book, a 2.2% bid-ask spread.
Vultax observes this market from Polymarket's public order book and data API and keeps its own record: 48 daily price points from Aug 12, 2026 UTC to Sep 27, 2026 UTC (Yes between 3.9% and 40.7%); 8 loaded holder wallets, the largest ten holding 100.0% of the loaded shares; 11 recent public fills from 10 wallets. Each figure carries its observation time; nothing here is a return forecast.
Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
Current public quote is shown when Vultax depth snapshots are unavailable.
Nine stops, one per figure on this page. Each stop says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads right now for this market.
Each outcome trades as a share that pays $1 if it wins and nothing if it loses. Prices are quoted in cents, and Yes plus No add up to about one dollar.
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 48 points · 12 Aug 2026 – 27 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | 38.5% |
| 27 Sep 2026 | 7.8% |
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Violet Maven 063C | No | 51.18 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 40.8 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes |
This market will resolve to the next club Gilberto Mora officially joins by February 2, 2027 at 2:00 PM ET. If Gilberto Mora does not officially join a new club by February 2, 2027 at 2:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Club Tijuana". If Gilberto Mora signs a contract that includes a delayed transfer or loan-back clause requiring him to remain at Club Tijuana for a specified period before joining another club, this market will resolve to the club he is officially contracted to join following that period. If Gilberto Mora joins a club that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Gilberto Mora is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional club by February 2, 2027 at 2:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Transfers or assignments between the current club's senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market. An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Club Tijuana and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-club-will-gilberto-mora-play-for-next
The Yes price read as a chance. A share at 21.5¢ implies 21.5%, but fees, available depth and who participates can affect that price. A market price is not a calibrated forecast or a verdict.
Dollar value of shares that changed hands in the last 24 hours. High volume means the price is being tested by real money; low volume means a few trades can move it.
Reported dollars resting in the order book. The available size on your side, at the prices you would accept, determines what can fill. A large total alone does not guarantee an execution near the quoted price.
The gap between the best bid and the best ask. A tight spread makes entry and exit cheap; a wide spread is a cost paid on every round trip.
The wallets holding the most shares on each side, and how much of the loaded sample the largest ten control. Concentration shows whether a market is a crowd or a handful of large positions.
The public fills, newest first: which wallet bought or sold which outcome, at what price, and when. It is the market's own diary, and every wallet on it links to a trader profile.
Observed closes of the Yes price over the market's life. The range shows how sure or split the crowd has been; the move shows which way it has been changing its mind.
Trading stops at the close time. The outcome is then settled by the resolution source named in the rules. A closed market is not resolved until the venue reports it, so the two states are shown separately.
| 21 |
| lolzzzlol | Yes | 20 |
| maomao228 | Yes | 20 |
| ramc2005 | Yes | 13.4 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 10.98 |
| 80sdfs | Yes | 6.6 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard