Resolved No on 24 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.4%. Yes opened at 31.5% on 6 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 19 daily closes on record from 6 Jun 2026 to 24 Jun 2026, the highest close was 51.5% on 18 Jun 2026 and the lowest 1.6% on 24 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 47 points down, to 4.5% on 19 Jun 2026. $4.47K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 25, 12:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 6 Jun 2026 – 24 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jun 2026 | 31.5% |
| 24 Jun 2026 | 1.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.06K |
| overlooked | Yes | 311.8 |
| Gokhan | Yes | 154.99 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 145 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-group-l-last-place-20260605000843479
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Horrible-Mobile | Yes | 54.05 |
| Suburban-Ecliptic | Yes | 40 |
| Jade Oracle 8329 | Yes | 30 |
| Colala | Yes | 30 |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 20.14 |
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