Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 27 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 27 Jul 2024 to 11 Aug 2024, the highest close was 24.5% on 27 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 6 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 4% on 28 Jul 2024. $22.58K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 11, 6:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 27 Jul 2024 – 11 Aug 2024, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jul 2024 | 24.5% |
| 11 Aug 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 22.53K |
| po23 | Yes | 661.38 |
| qrpenc | Yes | 410 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on which country will win the third most medals at the Paris Olympics.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/3rd-most-medals-at-paris-olympics
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