Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.1% on 17 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 17 Mar 2026 to 20 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the price held at 0.1%. $190.48K traded over the market's life.
51 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 21, 7:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 17 Mar 2026 – 20 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
| 20 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 653.8K |
| DickTurbin | Yes | 61.23K |
| Immense-Predecessor | Yes | 33K |
| Trim-Trowel | Yes | 29.99K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-ncaa-tournament-winner
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 26.46K |
| Abandoned-Troop | Yes | 25.09K |
| Remote-Testing | Yes | 16.58K |
| BigFishSushiChief | Yes | 11.32K |
| copy65 | Yes | 9.94K |
| KerolynRabar | Yes | 7.56K |
