Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 78.6%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 3 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 185 daily closes on record from 3 Jul 2025 to 2 Jan 2026, the highest close was 50% on 6 Jul 2025 and the lowest 3.8% on 7 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 26% on 10 Jul 2025. $315.76K traded over the market's life.
137 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 15, 10:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 185 points, 3 Jul 2025 – 2 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jul 2025 | 49.5% |
| 2 Jan 2026 | 21.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 216.51K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 26.6K |
| rated | Yes | 16.56K |
This is a market on which team will win the 2026 College Football National Championship.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/college-football-champion-2026-684
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Ivory Ledger 752C | Yes | 15.94K |
| Immense-Predecessor | Yes | 15.04K |
| 565phhh11 | Yes | 11.98K |
| AnonymousUsername | Yes | 6.65K |
| Tshn | Yes | 5.5K |
| Jonestrades | Yes | 4.47K |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 4.07K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
