
Resolved No on 3 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92%. Yes opened at 33% on 21 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 21 Dec 2024 to 3 Jan 2025, the highest close was 39% on 31 Dec 2024 and the lowest 8% on 3 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 8% on 3 Jan 2025. $38.7K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 12:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 21 Dec 2024 – 3 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Dec 2024 | 33.0% |
| 3 Jan 2025 | 8.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LuckyProphet | Yes | 294.12 |
| cupcakes5417 | Yes | 105 |
| MysticLight | Yes | 0.01 |
| BetterFish | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on which college football teams will qualify for the CFP Championship game.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-make-the-cfp-championship
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| daroghi | Yes | 0.01 |