Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 19% on 30 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 68 daily closes on record from 30 Aug 2024 to 5 Nov 2024, the highest close was 19% on 30 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.5% on 5 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 6.5% on 31 Aug 2024. $216.26K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 6, 7:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 68 points, 30 Aug 2024 – 5 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2024 | 19.0% |
| 5 Nov 2024 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MarsLife | Yes | 24.63K |
| hardycharlie | Yes | 11.01K |
| Athenenoctua | Yes | 1.56K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if George W. Bush announces that he will vote for, endorses, or otherwise supports Kamala Harris to be President of the United States between August 28 and November 4, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be statements or official information from George W. Bush or one of his representatives.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-george-w-bush-endorse-harris-before-election
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 714.29 |
| predictx | Yes | 666.67 |
| Proregdegen | Yes | 554.56 |
| Royal-Tourism | Yes | 373.68 |
| ER03PT | Yes | 154.8 |
| ER02CB | Yes | 142.86 |
| amberrose420 | Yes | 135.02 |
