Analytics
Resolved No on 5 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 12% on 25 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 25 Apr 2025 to 5 May 2025, the highest close was 15.5% on 27 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 5 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 4.5% on 3 May 2025. $80.7K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 6, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 25 Apr 2025 – 5 May 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2025 | 12.0% |
| 5 May 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 61.93K |
| idkwhatimdoink | Yes | 5K |
| Ciolacool | Yes | 1.05K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The first round of the Romanian presidential election, originally held on November 24, 2024, was annulled by the Constitutional Court. On January 16, Romania's coalition government approved a re-run of the presidential election. It is scheduled for May 4, with a second round on May 18, if no candidate receives an absolute majority of the vote (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/romania-confirms-date-tightens-rules-presidential-election-rerun-2025-01-16/). This market will resolve according to the candidate that receives the second greatest number of votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Romanian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the election results from the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/romania-presidential-election-1st-round-2nd-place
| Yes |
| 1K |
| denisms | Yes | 449.53 |
| paul1990 | Yes | 267.44 |
| 0xJFK | Yes | 238.3 |
| Hugo14 | Yes | 155.71 |
| Flash12ll | Yes | 50 |
| bigboops | No | 0.07 |
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