What is the “Will George Simion win by 6–12%?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will George Simion win by 6–12%? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Romanian Presidential Election Margin of Victory”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on May 18, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

The runoff for the Romanian presidential election is scheduled for May 18, 2025. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the 2025 Romanian Presidential Election runoff. For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in Romanian…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($2.1M) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 91 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 98.7% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated May 22, 8:20 AM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-george-simion-win-by-612) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Will George Simion win by 6–12%? | Polymarket odds & analytics

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Delayed

Analytics

Predictions Analytics

Will George Simion win by 6–12%? | Polymarket odds & analytics | Vultax

Market referencewill-george-simion-win-by-612Updated May 22, 2025

Closed

Scheduled close May 18, 2025

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Observed Yes 0¢Observed No 100¢

24h Volume

$2.1M

Scheduled close

May 18, 2025

Overview Prices Holders Trades

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

May 22, 2025

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

May 22, 2025

This resolved market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Closed

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

0.0%

The venue reports this market closed, but no resolved outcome is inferred.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

99%

Yes / No shares

231.22K / 2.77M

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

110

Loaded notional

Reported market positionsProvider-reported rows from the displayed market-position observation.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	2.77M	0.0%	$0
Siziriv	Yes	121.52K	12.5%	$311.27K	May 18, 7:17 PM

Romanian Presidential Election Margin of Victory

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will George Simion win by 6–12%?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will George Simion win by 6–12%? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Romanian Presidential Election Margin of Victory”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on May 18, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: The runoff for the Romanian presidential election is scheduled for May 18, 2025. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the 2025 Romanian Presidential Election runoff. For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in Romanian…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($2.1M) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Top holders by valueReturned holders ranked by current holding value. Profit and win rate are unavailable for this sample.

Trader	Current holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$2.77M
Siziriv	$0
WhiteLivesMatter	$0
Appropriate-Lobby	$0
Dany26998	$0
iatom10	$0
cartus	$0
andrei1234	$0
razvan23	$0
Adrianeex	$0
Dragosmirel	$0
Ingrid19	$0