Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Apr 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 27% on 4 Apr 2024. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 4 Apr 2024 to 13 Apr 2024, the highest close was 36% on 5 Apr 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 13 Apr 2024. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 17.5% on 6 Apr 2024. $32.84K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 4 Apr 2024 – 13 Apr 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Apr 2024 | 27.0% |
| 13 Apr 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ex-congressman George Santos starts an OnlyFans page featuring himself by April 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If he starts an Onlyfans page but doesn't have any posts yet it will still suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The primary resolutions source for this market will be from George Santos and OnlyFans, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-george-santos-start-an-onlyfans-by-april-12
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
