Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Aug 2024.
$395.25K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 24, 5:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 23 Aug 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2024 | 1.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Crowded-Pike | Yes | 3.77K |
| 3t17 | Yes | 1.88K |
| Sarcastic-Upper | Yes | 1.83K |
| onasickone | Yes | 84.5 |
| agmimulle1976 | No | 0.26 |
| leorufmitha1978 | No | 0.18 |
| IPoAC | Yes | 0.02 |
| truthevenun1980 | No | 0.01 |
| leuknowhremi1977 | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former US President George W. Bush is a speaker at the Democratic National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This person will be considered a "speaker" if they publicly speak in-person at the convention to an audience. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Democratic party, including footage from the convention, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-george-bush-speak-at-the-dnc
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