Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 68% on 23 Feb 2024. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 23 Feb 2024 to 1 Mar 2024, the highest close was 68% on 23 Feb 2024 and the lowest 0.5% on 1 Mar 2024. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 35.5% on 24 Feb 2024. $34.33K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 3:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 23 Feb 2024 – 1 Mar 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Feb 2024 | 68.0% |
| 1 Mar 2024 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Whataretheodds | No | 0.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On Feb 22 Google said "We're already working to address recent issues with Gemini's image generation feature. While we do this, we're going to pause the image generation of people and will re-release an improved version soon.” (see https://x.com/Google_Comms/status/1760603321944121506?s=20). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gemini officially resumes its image generation of people by Feb 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note: if some people are still able to use Gemini to generate images of people, it will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - there must be communication from Google or a consensus of credible reporting that Gemini's image generation of people has resumed. The primary resolution source will be information from Google and Alphabet, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-gemini-generate-images-of-people-again-in-february
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