Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 14 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 5.9% on 15 Nov 2025 and the low 0.3% on 18 Nov 2025. $443.86K traded over the market's life.
78 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 19, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 5 points · 14 Nov 2025 – 18 Nov 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2025 | 4.5% |
| 18 Nov 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 235.16K |
| blackswandrift | Yes | 10.39K |
| joshpxyne | Yes | 8.8K |
| coinfun | Yes | 7K |
| galala2027 | Yes | 5.67K |
| LlamaEnjoyer | Yes | 5.36K |
| su16 | Yes | 4.9K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 4.6K |
| Cookedtan | Yes | 4.35K |
| Thehumanz | Yes | 2.37K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) Google's Gemini 3.0 model is made available to the general public. For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 3.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.0 (e.g. Gemini 3.0 pro would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 2.0, similar to the progression from Gemini 1.0 to Gemini 2.0. Products labeled as Gemini 2.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-day-will-gemini-3pt0-be-released
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