Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 39% on 6 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 39% on 6 Mar 2026 and the low 0.8% on 29 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 3.5% on 7 Mar 2026. $96.4K traded over the market's life.
61 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 1:18 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 22 points · 6 Mar 2026 – 29 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Mar 2026 | 39.0% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 0.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 8020eth | Yes | 2.5K |
| steamrolling | Yes | 2K |
| Get10 | Yes | 1.9K |
| chefradish | Yes | 1.74K |
| zeliasica | Yes | 1.16K |
| Gigantic-Clay | Yes | 1K |
| easterbunnyfirearena | Yes | 506.13 |
| wxy7766 | Yes | 500 |
| Dependent-Centurion | Yes | 425.55 |
| fennway | Yes | 424.23 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-march
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